Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Spaling wins 39.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 46.9% vs Johansen 51.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 15-2 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 64.3%
Defensive zone
Spaling 65.7%
Neutral zone
Spaling 66.1%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Spaling
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
15
(17 meetings)
2
15
Spaling
Johansen
Last 10: Spaling 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
7
Spaling
Johansen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Spaling
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
4
Spaling
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (419)
51.2% (447)
-2.8%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
53.4% (73)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
32.1% (53)
44.4% (9)
-12.3%
On power play, Johansen has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Spaling is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Spaling shoots left. Johansen is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Spaling
Johansen
Home
52.2% (251)
54.9% (255)
Away
39.8% (231)
48.2% (274)
By Period
Spaling
Johansen
P1
40.6%
51.7%
P2
43.9%
49.4%
P3
54.3%
51.8%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
40.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |