Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.3%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 51.2% vs Johansen 52.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 66.2%
Defensive zone
Spaling 65.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Spaling
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Spaling
Johansen
Last 6: Spaling 1-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Spaling
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Spaling
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (461)
51.9% (1,006)
+0.6%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
56.0% (207)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
42.4% (33)
+4.2%
On power play, Spaling has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Spaling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Spaling shoots left. Johansen is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Spaling
Johansen
Home
57.2% (297)
56.4% (633)
Away
45.7% (304)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Spaling
Johansen
P1
54.2%
51.4%
P2
46.6%
52.9%
P3
54.3%
51.7%
OT
25.0%
84.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |