Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Aman wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aman 40.2% vs Johansen 58.2% (-21.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aman 50.6%
Defensive zone
Aman 85.1%
Neutral zone
Aman 76.6%
Result
Nils Aman favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Aman
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Aman
Johansen
Last 5: Aman 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Aman
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Aman
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aman
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (439)
59.8% (625)
-20.8%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
58.2% (196)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
51.9% (27)
-26.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Aman is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Aman shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Aman
Johansen
Home
39.8% (259)
60.3% (436)
Away
36.3% (215)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Aman
Johansen
P1
38.9%
61.3%
P2
41.7%
60.4%
P3
33.8%
56.0%
Final 5 min
39.1%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Nils Aman |