Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.6%). Hintz wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 52.6% vs Johansen 52.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 57.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 64.6%
Neutral zone
Hintz 50.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Hintz
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hintz
Johansen
Last 6: Hintz 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Hintz
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hintz
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Hintz
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (526)
49.4% (1,010)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.4% (108)
62.3% (236)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (40)
67.2% (67)
-24.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hintz is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Hintz shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Hintz
Johansen
Home
53.8% (329)
54.7% (655)
Away
52.2% (345)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Hintz
Johansen
P1
55.6%
52.2%
P2
53.0%
50.7%
P3
51.7%
54.8%
OT
37.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |