Ryan Johansen vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansen wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 61.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 77.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Johansen
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Johansen
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Johansen
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
45.4% (527)
+14.4%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
41.2% (17)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
44.9% (138)
+7.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Johansen shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Johansen
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
60.3% (436)
46.1% (336)
Away
58.0% (412)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Johansen
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
61.3%
49.1%
P2
60.4%
45.3%
P3
56.0%
42.0%
OT
56.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |