Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Johansen wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Laughton 47.5% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 92.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 50.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 73.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Johansen
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Johansen
Laughton
Last 7: Johansen 5-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
1
Johansen
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Laughton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
47.4% (719)
+12.4%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
50.4% (129)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
45.0% (229)
+6.9%
On even strength, Johansen has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Johansen shoots right. Laughton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Johansen
Laughton
Home
60.3% (436)
50.2% (520)
Away
58.0% (412)
44.5% (557)
By Period
Johansen
Laughton
P1
61.3%
44.2%
P2
60.4%
49.1%
P3
56.0%
48.4%
OT
56.3%
36.8%
Final 5 min
55.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |