Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Nichol 58.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 79.2%
Defensive zone
Johansen 52.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 61.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Johansen
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Johansen
Nichol
Last 5: Johansen 1-4 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
3
Johansen
Nichol
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
59.0% (948)
-5.9%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
42.9% (14)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
59.5% (185)
-9.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Johansen shoots right. Nichol is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Johansen
Nichol
Home
55.0% (7,001)
59.7% (576)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Johansen
Nichol
P1
53.2%
58.4%
P2
53.9%
57.3%
P3
52.8%
61.1%
OT
58.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |