Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Johansen wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.2% vs Couturier 48.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 77.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 53.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 67.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Johansen
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Johansen
Couturier
Last 10: Johansen 8-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
1
Johansen
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
5
1
Johansen
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,006)
48.9% (919)
+3.0%
Power Play
56.0% (207)
44.0% (84)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
50.0% (102)
-7.6%
On power play, Johansen has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Johansen is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Johansen shoots right. Couturier is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Johansen
Couturier
Home
56.4% (633)
51.4% (592)
Away
48.1% (613)
45.4% (513)
By Period
Johansen
Couturier
P1
51.4%
49.2%
P2
52.9%
49.0%
P3
51.7%
47.3%
OT
84.6%
52.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2015 | OT | 02:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 17:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |