Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.5%). Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.8% vs Couturier 53.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 62.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 64.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Johansen
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Johansen
Couturier
Last 5: Johansen 3-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Johansen
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (597)
53.8% (1,003)
-1.9%
Power Play
57.9% (133)
56.4% (202)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (81)
42.7% (89)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Johansen shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Johansen
Couturier
Home
55.8% (387)
54.4% (680)
Away
50.7% (424)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Johansen
Couturier
P1
50.0%
56.3%
P2
56.2%
51.8%
P3
52.6%
52.2%
OT
75.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
54.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |