Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Johansen wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Pinto 51.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 87.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 57.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 75.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Johansen
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Johansen
Pinto
Last 5: Johansen 4-1 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
52.5% (825)
+7.3%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
40.0% (10)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
44.4% (27)
+7.5%
On power play, Johansen has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Johansen shoots right. Pinto is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Johansen
Pinto
Home
60.3% (436)
52.8% (453)
Away
58.0% (412)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Johansen
Pinto
P1
61.3%
49.0%
P2
60.4%
53.5%
P3
56.0%
53.7%
OT
56.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |