Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dries on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dries shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Dries 49.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 56.1%
Defensive zone
Dries 51.9%
Neutral zone
Dries 51.3%
Result
Sheldon Dries favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Johansen
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Johansen
Dries
Last 6: Johansen 3-3 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Dries
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dries
1
2
Johansen
Dries
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Dries
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
48.8% (527)
+4.3%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
52.9% (68)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
54.3% (35)
-3.8%
On even strength, Johansen has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Dries is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Johansen
Dries
Home
55.0% (7,001)
52.8% (354)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
45.3% (276)
By Period
Johansen
Dries
P1
53.2%
47.1%
P2
53.9%
52.1%
P3
52.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Dries
46.0%▼
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |