Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dries on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansen wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dries shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Dries 49.9% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 55.9%
Defensive zone
Dries 58.8%
Neutral zone
Dries 51.5%
Result
Sheldon Dries favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Johansen
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Johansen
Dries
Last 5: Johansen 2-3 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dries
1
2
Johansen
Dries
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Dries
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
49.1% (401)
+10.7%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
55.0% (60)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
50.0% (10)
+1.9%
On even strength, Johansen has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Johansen shoots right. Dries is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Johansen
Dries
Home
60.3% (436)
54.3% (265)
Away
58.0% (412)
44.2% (206)
By Period
Johansen
Dries
P1
61.3%
45.8%
P2
60.4%
54.3%
P3
56.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |