Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.9% vs Bozak 54.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 61.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 50.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Johansen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Johansen
Bozak
Last 10: Johansen 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Johansen
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Johansen
Bozak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Johansen
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (845)
57.3% (483)
-3.9%
Power Play
58.8% (102)
57.5% (73)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (85)
42.3% (104)
+2.4%
On even strength, Bozak has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Johansen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Johansen shoots right. Bozak is 62.3% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Johansen
Bozak
Home
53.2% (479)
57.8% (332)
Away
53.2% (553)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Johansen
Bozak
P1
53.8%
52.7%
P2
53.9%
55.6%
P3
52.0%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |