Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.4% vs Bozak 46.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 65.2%
Defensive zone
Bozak 83.5%
Neutral zone
Bozak 71.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Johansen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Johansen
Bozak
Last 7: Johansen 1-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Johansen
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Johansen
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Johansen
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,010)
46.7% (338)
+2.7%
Power Play
62.3% (236)
50.0% (6)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
67.2% (67)
32.6% (43)
+34.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Johansen shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Johansen
Bozak
Home
54.7% (655)
47.9% (194)
Away
50.6% (658)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Johansen
Bozak
P1
52.2%
40.2%
P2
50.7%
51.4%
P3
54.8%
43.1%
OT
53.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |