Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Johnson 49.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 36-32 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 66.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 58.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 59.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Johansen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
32
(68 meetings)
36
32
Johansen
Johnson
Last 10: Johansen 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
12
16
Johansen
Johnson
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
11
8
Johansen
Johnson
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
13
8
Johansen
Johnson
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
49.8% (5,396)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
54.6% (885)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
42.3% (707)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Johansen shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Johansen
Johnson
Home
55.0% (7,001)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Johansen
Johnson
P1
53.2%
50.1%
P2
53.9%
50.6%
P3
52.8%
48.4%
OT
58.2%
42.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |