Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansen wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.8% vs Johnson 45.7% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 56.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 52.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.0%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Johansen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Johansen
Johnson
Last 6: Johansen 3-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Johansen
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
1
Johansen
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (597)
44.6% (285)
+7.3%
Power Play
57.9% (133)
46.7% (60)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (81)
16.7% (6)
+37.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +37.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Johansen shoots right. Johnson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Johansen
Johnson
Home
55.8% (387)
50.8% (179)
Away
50.7% (424)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Johansen
Johnson
P1
50.0%
41.3%
P2
56.2%
41.8%
P3
52.6%
49.6%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |