Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Johnson 48.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 80.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 68.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Johansen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Johansen
Johnson
Last 9: Johansen 6-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
5
2
Johansen
Johnson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,149)
49.4% (399)
+5.3%
Power Play
49.7% (191)
52.9% (34)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
37.5% (40)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Johansen is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (493).
Johansen shoots right. Johnson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Johansen
Johnson
Home
52.5% (739)
49.8% (229)
Away
54.6% (722)
47.5% (244)
By Period
Johansen
Johnson
P1
53.8%
45.0%
P2
55.8%
49.1%
P3
51.2%
50.3%
OT
52.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |