Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Jost 40.5% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 85.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 59.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 68.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Johansen
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Johansen
Jost
Last 10: Johansen 5-5 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Johansen
Jost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
3
Johansen
Jost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
6
3
Johansen
Jost
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
41.0% (1,977)
+12.1%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
34.7% (72)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
34.9% (249)
+15.6%
On power play, Johansen has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Jost is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Johansen
Jost
Home
55.0% (7,001)
42.0% (1,208)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
38.1% (1,090)
By Period
Johansen
Jost
P1
53.2%
38.5%
P2
53.9%
41.2%
P3
52.8%
40.8%
OT
58.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |