Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Johansen wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Jost 40.8% (+20.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 90.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 59.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 84.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Johansen
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Johansen
Jost
Last 8: Johansen 5-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
2
Johansen
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
1
Johansen
Jost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
41.8% (388)
+18.0%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
0.0% (3)
+58.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
21.7% (60)
+30.2%
On power play, Johansen has a +58.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Johansen shoots right. Jost is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Johansen
Jost
Home
60.3% (436)
42.6% (230)
Away
58.0% (412)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Johansen
Jost
P1
61.3%
43.2%
P2
60.4%
38.2%
P3
56.0%
34.6%
OT
56.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |