Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johnson wins 64.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 60.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 64.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 74.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 60.6%
Result
Ryan Johnson favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Johnson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Johnson
Bozak
Last 7: Johnson 4-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Johnson
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
0
Johnson
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Johnson
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (260)
53.7% (9,596)
+10.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
55.2% (1,990)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
63.0% (46)
48.0% (1,094)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Johnson is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Johnson shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Johnson
Bozak
Home
69.8% (126)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
58.6% (186)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Johnson
Bozak
P1
63.0%
53.2%
P2
61.8%
52.8%
P3
66.0%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
65.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 02:01 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |