Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Johnson wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 60.0% vs Fiddler 52.1% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 57.8%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 53.8%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 50.2%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Johnson
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Johnson
Fiddler
Last 8: Johnson 4-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
3
Johnson
Fiddler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
1
Johnson
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (260)
53.7% (4,899)
+10.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
50.0% (154)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
63.0% (46)
46.9% (1,479)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Johnson shoots left. Fiddler is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Johnson
Fiddler
Home
69.8% (126)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
58.6% (186)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Johnson
Fiddler
P1
63.0%
52.1%
P2
61.8%
52.6%
P3
66.0%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
65.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |