Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.2% vs Kesler 58.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 81.7%
Defensive zone
Little 66.1%
Neutral zone
Little 72.9%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Little
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Little
Kesler
Last 10: Little 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
2
Little
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Little
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Little
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (895)
58.6% (1,138)
-8.0%
Power Play
61.6% (216)
64.5% (186)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (203)
55.0% (351)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Little is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Little shoots right. Kesler is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Little
Kesler
Home
51.6% (628)
61.0% (859)
Away
51.0% (686)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Little
Kesler
P1
52.0%
59.1%
P2
49.3%
56.5%
P3
53.0%
60.5%
OT
38.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Bryan Little |