Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 48.5% vs Kesler 52.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 76.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 52.3%
Neutral zone
Kesler 62.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Cizikas
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cizikas
Kesler
Last 6: Cizikas 4-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Cizikas
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (775)
53.8% (1,005)
-2.8%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
56.6% (205)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (206)
42.3% (196)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Cizikas is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Cizikas shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Kesler
Home
52.7% (490)
54.1% (719)
Away
44.3% (521)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Cizikas
Kesler
P1
46.6%
53.1%
P2
47.5%
54.5%
P3
51.1%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
48.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 22, 2013 | OT | 01:10 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |