Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.0% vs Kesler 58.0% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 73.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 69.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 77.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Cizikas
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cizikas
Kesler
Last 6: Cizikas 1-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Cizikas
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Cizikas
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (750)
58.6% (1,138)
-7.7%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
64.5% (186)
-34.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (199)
55.0% (351)
-12.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Cizikas is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Cizikas shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Kesler
Home
48.1% (466)
61.0% (859)
Away
49.7% (493)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Cizikas
Kesler
P1
51.5%
59.1%
P2
46.5%
56.5%
P3
49.3%
60.5%
OT
20.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.2%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
48.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |