Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 50.1% vs Kesler 55.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cave 80.5%
Defensive zone
Cave 77.7%
Neutral zone
Cave 77.5%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Cave
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Cave
Kesler
Last 9: Cave 2-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cave
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Cave
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Cave
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (356)
55.7% (741)
-4.9%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
67.0% (100)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
50.0% (204)
-3.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Cave is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Cave shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Cave
Kesler
Home
46.7% (184)
52.5% (522)
Away
53.0% (215)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Cave
Kesler
P1
45.3%
56.7%
P2
51.9%
56.8%
P3
53.6%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |