Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Helm wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.3% vs Kesler 57.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 69.6%
Defensive zone
Helm 81.0%
Neutral zone
Helm 73.5%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Helm
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Helm
Kesler
Last 8: Helm 2-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Helm
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (678)
57.3% (1,022)
-4.4%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
61.5% (200)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (235)
54.9% (257)
-4.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Helm is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Helm shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Helm
Kesler
Home
56.5% (444)
58.6% (766)
Away
49.0% (494)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Helm
Kesler
P1
54.6%
58.9%
P2
51.8%
56.8%
P3
51.4%
57.5%
OT
60.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
52.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2011 | OT | 04:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |