Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kane wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 50.0% vs Kesler 58.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 75.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 91.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 66.5%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Kane
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kane
Kesler
Last 5: Kane 3-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
3
1
Kane
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Kane
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (76)
58.6% (1,138)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (46)
64.5% (186)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
55.0% (351)
-5.0%
On power play, Kesler has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Kane is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Kane shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Kane
Kesler
Home
52.0% (75)
61.0% (859)
Away
46.9% (49)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Kane
Kesler
P1
59.5%
59.1%
P2
37.8%
56.5%
P3
51.1%
60.5%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.5%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
50.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Evander Kane |