Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +23.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 37.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 37.1% vs Kesler 58.0% (-23.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 78.5%
Defensive zone
McCann 69.1%
Neutral zone
McCann 85.2%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
McCann
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
McCann
Kesler
Last 9: McCann 2-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
McCann
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
McCann
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
McCann
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (506)
58.6% (1,138)
-23.2%
Power Play
15.4% (13)
64.5% (186)
-49.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
55.0% (351)
-55.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. McCann is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (177).
McCann shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
McCann
Kesler
Home
30.3% (221)
61.0% (859)
Away
37.9% (301)
55.9% (816)
By Period
McCann
Kesler
P1
35.9%
59.1%
P2
31.1%
56.5%
P3
37.1%
60.5%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
27.0%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
34.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2016 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jared McCann |