Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 54.6% vs Kesler 58.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 69.6%
Defensive zone
Kesler 68.8%
Neutral zone
Kesler 61.0%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
McClement
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McClement
Kesler
Last 7: McClement 5-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
2
1
McClement
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (540)
58.6% (1,138)
-1.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
64.5% (186)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (131)
55.0% (351)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. McClement is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (233).
McClement shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
McClement
Kesler
Home
56.0% (341)
61.0% (859)
Away
54.6% (337)
55.9% (816)
By Period
McClement
Kesler
P1
52.7%
59.1%
P2
55.7%
56.5%
P3
58.3%
60.5%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
58.8%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jay McClement |