Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Slater wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Slater 58.5% vs Kesler 56.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 81.7%
Defensive zone
Slater 56.5%
Neutral zone
Kesler 59.9%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Slater
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Slater
Kesler
Last 10: Slater 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Slater
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
3
1
Slater
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Slater
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Slater
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
64.4% (450)
57.4% (1,185)
+7.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
58.0% (243)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (297)
49.2% (236)
+3.0%
On power play, Slater has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Slater is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Slater shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Slater
Kesler
Home
64.0% (411)
58.5% (793)
Away
54.4% (340)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Slater
Kesler
P1
59.8%
57.0%
P2
58.0%
55.4%
P3
61.4%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
62.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
59.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |