Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Draisaitl wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 42.9% vs Kesler 56.0% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 81.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 57.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 70.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Draisaitl
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Draisaitl
Kesler
Last 7: Draisaitl 2-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Draisaitl
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Draisaitl
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (270)
57.4% (1,185)
-15.9%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
58.0% (243)
-22.4%
On power play, Kesler has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Draisaitl is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Draisaitl shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Kesler
Home
45.1% (164)
58.5% (793)
Away
35.8% (151)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Draisaitl
Kesler
P1
48.1%
57.0%
P2
34.8%
55.4%
P3
39.4%
56.7%
Final 5 min
33.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
40.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2014 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |