Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cullen wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 56.0% vs Kesler 52.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 63.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 66.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 69.6%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Cullen
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cullen
Kesler
Last 7: Cullen 2-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Cullen
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Cullen
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (635)
53.8% (1,005)
+2.4%
Power Play
61.9% (105)
56.6% (205)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
42.3% (196)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Cullen is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Cullen shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Cullen
Kesler
Home
58.2% (380)
54.1% (719)
Away
55.4% (392)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Cullen
Kesler
P1
56.1%
53.1%
P2
57.9%
54.5%
P3
56.3%
50.3%
OT
66.7%
47.4%
Final 5 min
61.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
56.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |