Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cullen wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 55.2% vs Kesler 58.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 78.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 55.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 56.3%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Cullen
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Cullen
Kesler
Last 7: Cullen 6-1 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
4
0
Cullen
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (783)
58.6% (1,138)
+0.5%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
64.5% (186)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (233)
55.0% (351)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Cullen is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Cullen shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Cullen
Kesler
Home
59.0% (481)
61.0% (859)
Away
52.9% (563)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Cullen
Kesler
P1
55.7%
59.1%
P2
53.1%
56.5%
P3
58.0%
60.5%
OT
83.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |