Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 50.2% vs Kesler 58.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 51.9%
Defensive zone
Kesler 79.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 75.6%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
McCarron
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McCarron
Kesler
Last 5: McCarron 3-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCarron
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (144)
58.6% (1,138)
-8.6%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
64.5% (186)
-12.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. McCarron is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (62).
McCarron shoots right. Kesler is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kesler
Home
46.3% (82)
61.0% (859)
Away
54.0% (87)
55.9% (816)
By Period
McCarron
Kesler
P1
45.5%
59.1%
P2
53.6%
56.5%
P3
53.2%
60.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
50.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |