Mikael Backlund vs Ryan Kesler

2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Kesler holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Backlund wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Backlund 46.1% vs Kesler 53.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor Backlund leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Kesler 78.2%
Defensive zone Kesler 53.7%
Neutral zone Kesler 70.4%
Result Ryan Kesler favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Backlund Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 5 (12 meetings)
7
5
Backlund Kesler
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Kesler

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Backlund Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
0
Backlund Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Backlund Kesler
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Backlund
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (410)
53.8% (981)
-7.9%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
56.9% (160)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (56)
49.2% (185)
-6.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +12.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Backlund is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Backlund shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Backlund
Kesler
Home
49.3% (217)
54.1% (690)
Away
42.3% (279)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Backlund
Kesler
P1
44.0%
52.3%
P2
49.4%
52.8%
P3
42.8%
56.3%
OT
40.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
41.2%
58.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%
48.0%
45.4%
Kesler
50.0%
54.5%
53.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 11, 2012 2 00:00 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Feb 11, 2012 1 09:44 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Feb 11, 2012 1 02:01 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Feb 11, 2012 1 00:08 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Feb 11, 2012 1 00:00 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Dec 23, 2011 3 16:59 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Dec 23, 2011 3 08:59 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 23, 2011 3 05:52 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 23, 2011 2 06:29 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 23, 2011 2 01:36 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Dec 23, 2011 1 08:40 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Dec 23, 2011 1 08:30 Neutral Mikael Backlund