Mikhail Grigorenko vs Ryan Kesler
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.8% vs 57.4%). Grigorenko wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grigorenko 55.1% vs Kesler 57.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 73.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 54.3%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 58.5%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Grigorenko
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Grigorenko
Kesler
Last 7: Grigorenko 2-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Grigorenko
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Grigorenko
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Grigorenko
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grigorenko
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (157)
57.6% (1,225)
-2.8%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
63.5% (263)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
76.7% (30)
51.5% (305)
+25.2%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Grigorenko is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Grigorenko shoots left. Kesler is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Grigorenko
Kesler
Home
64.4% (118)
59.1% (881)
Away
47.3% (74)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Grigorenko
Kesler
P1
54.2%
56.6%
P2
55.6%
58.2%
P3
63.9%
57.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
57.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |