Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Foligno wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.2% vs Kesler 56.0% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 62.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 72.4%
Neutral zone
Kesler 67.6%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Foligno
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Foligno
Kesler
Last 10: Foligno 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
1
Foligno
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Foligno
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
1
Foligno
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (227)
57.4% (1,185)
-10.3%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
58.0% (243)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (21)
49.2% (236)
+3.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Foligno is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Foligno shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kesler
Home
45.7% (116)
58.5% (793)
Away
49.0% (147)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Foligno
Kesler
P1
53.8%
57.0%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
40.4%
56.7%
OT
40.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |