Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Kesler 55.9% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Paul 54.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 54.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Paul
Kesler
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (3,787)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.8%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
60.7% (1,437)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,777).
Paul shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Paul
Kesler
Home
52.7% (2,412)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
51.8% (2,430)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Paul
Kesler
P1
53.9%
56.5%
P2
51.1%
55.9%
P3
52.0%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
58.0%▲
54.0%
52.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%