Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Berglund wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 49.0% vs Kesler 56.0% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 75.2%
Defensive zone
Berglund 76.3%
Neutral zone
Berglund 74.4%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Berglund
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Berglund
Kesler
Last 10: Berglund 1-9 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Berglund
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Berglund
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Berglund
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (301)
57.4% (1,185)
-8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
58.0% (243)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
49.2% (236)
+0.8%
On even strength, Kesler has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Berglund is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Berglund shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Berglund
Kesler
Home
53.3% (180)
58.5% (793)
Away
43.0% (149)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Berglund
Kesler
P1
52.3%
57.0%
P2
46.8%
55.4%
P3
46.7%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 00:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |