Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horak wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 43.1% vs Kesler 53.3% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horak 65.5%
Defensive zone
Horak 64.6%
Neutral zone
Horak 67.1%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Horak
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Horak
Kesler
Last 10: Horak 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Horak
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horak
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Horak
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (399)
53.8% (981)
-13.7%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
56.9% (160)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
49.2% (185)
+0.8%
On even strength, Kesler has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Horak is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Horak shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Horak
Kesler
Home
40.5% (227)
54.1% (690)
Away
42.5% (214)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Horak
Kesler
P1
42.3%
52.3%
P2
40.5%
52.8%
P3
41.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
41.9%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |