Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Marra on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — O'Marra shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs O'Marra 45.0% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 52.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 67.2%
Neutral zone
Kesler 51.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Kesler
O'Marra
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kesler
O'Marra
Last 6: Kesler 3-3 O'Marra
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
0
Kesler
O'Marra
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
1
2
Kesler
O'Marra
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Marra
0
1
Kesler
O'Marra
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
O'Marra
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,022)
43.7% (158)
+13.6%
Power Play
61.5% (200)
20.0% (5)
+41.5%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (257)
36.4% (11)
+18.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Marra shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Kesler shoots right. O'Marra is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Kesler
O'Marra
Home
58.6% (766)
48.1% (108)
Away
56.2% (730)
32.9% (70)
By Period
Kesler
O'Marra
P1
58.9%
51.5%
P2
56.8%
38.7%
P3
57.5%
32.6%
OT
31.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |