Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Marra on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — O'Marra shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs O'Marra 46.9% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Marra 50.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 68.4%
Neutral zone
Kesler 54.3%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Kesler
O'Marra
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kesler
O'Marra
Last 6: Kesler 3-3 O'Marra
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
0
Kesler
O'Marra
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
1
2
Kesler
O'Marra
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Marra
0
1
Kesler
O'Marra
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
O'Marra
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
47.2% (218)
+9.2%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
20.0% (5)
+40.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
33.3% (15)
+17.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Marra shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Kesler shoots right. O'Marra is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Kesler
O'Marra
Home
57.2% (5,732)
52.0% (150)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
35.5% (93)
By Period
Kesler
O'Marra
P1
56.5%
52.2%
P2
55.9%
44.3%
P3
56.1%
38.1%
OT
46.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |