Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kesler wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.2% vs Couturier 56.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 70.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 51.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 56.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Kesler
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Kesler
Couturier
Last 10: Kesler 7-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
2
Kesler
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
1
Kesler
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (741)
55.6% (1,008)
+0.1%
Power Play
67.0% (100)
71.7% (138)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (204)
54.2% (177)
-4.2%
On power play, Couturier has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Kesler shoots right. Couturier is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Kesler
Couturier
Home
52.5% (522)
59.8% (696)
Away
58.9% (523)
54.1% (627)
By Period
Kesler
Couturier
P1
56.7%
54.3%
P2
56.8%
59.8%
P3
54.1%
56.6%
OT
16.7%
64.3%
Final 5 min
54.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |