Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Couturier 52.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 63.2%
Defensive zone
Kesler 65.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 69.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Kesler
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
13
(29 meetings)
16
13
Kesler
Couturier
Last 10: Kesler 7-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
7
6
Kesler
Couturier
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
7
5
Kesler
Couturier
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kesler
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
52.5% (11,063)
+3.9%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
59.7% (1,280)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
48.5% (1,816)
+2.0%
On even strength, Kesler has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Kesler
Couturier
Home
57.2% (5,732)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Kesler
Couturier
P1
56.5%
52.5%
P2
55.9%
52.6%
P3
56.1%
52.9%
OT
46.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |