Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Kalinin 43.0% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 93.0%
Defensive zone
Kesler 93.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 93.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Kesler
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Kesler
Kalinin
Last 5: Kesler 5-0 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
0
Kesler
Kalinin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
0
Kesler
Kalinin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
41.9% (453)
+14.5%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
33.3% (18)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
40.0% (25)
+10.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Kalinin is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Kesler
Kalinin
Home
57.2% (5,732)
42.8% (285)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
39.8% (211)
By Period
Kesler
Kalinin
P1
56.5%
43.8%
P2
55.9%
40.6%
P3
56.1%
40.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |