Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Doan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs Doan 47.5% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 70.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 89.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 52.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Kesler
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kesler
Doan
Last 6: Kesler 3-3 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
2
Kesler
Doan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
1
Kesler
Doan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
0
Kesler
Doan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,022)
47.8% (115)
+9.5%
Power Play
61.5% (200)
42.9% (42)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (257)
0.0% (1)
+54.9%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Kesler shoots right. Doan is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Kesler
Doan
Home
58.6% (766)
40.8% (76)
Away
56.2% (730)
50.6% (83)
By Period
Kesler
Doan
P1
58.9%
46.7%
P2
56.8%
43.1%
P3
57.5%
48.1%
OT
31.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
35.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |