Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Doan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kesler wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Doan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Doan 48.3% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Doan leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Doan 77.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 88.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 52.2%
Result
Shane Doan favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Kesler
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Kesler
Doan
Last 10: Kesler 4-6 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
5
Kesler
Doan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
1
Kesler
Doan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
0
Kesler
Doan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
48.6% (451)
+7.8%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
46.3% (136)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
50.0% (10)
+0.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Kesler shoots right. Doan is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Kesler
Doan
Home
57.2% (5,732)
48.4% (312)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
47.6% (286)
By Period
Kesler
Doan
P1
56.5%
42.8%
P2
55.9%
48.3%
P3
56.1%
53.0%
OT
46.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |