Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 33 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Crosby 53.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 47-45 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 64.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 78.8%
Neutral zone
Kesler 66.6%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Kesler
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
45
(92 meetings)
47
45
Kesler
Crosby
Last 10: Kesler 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
12
21
Kesler
Crosby
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
18
15
Kesler
Crosby
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
17
9
Kesler
Crosby
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
52.8% (17,990)
+3.6%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
57.4% (4,733)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
47.1% (765)
+3.4%
On even strength, Kesler has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Kesler
Crosby
Home
57.2% (5,732)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Kesler
Crosby
P1
56.5%
53.6%
P2
55.9%
53.9%
P3
56.1%
53.3%
OT
46.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |