Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kesler wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs Weiss 53.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 70.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 75.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 67.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Kesler
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kesler
Weiss
Last 9: Kesler 6-3 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
1
2
Kesler
Weiss
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
0
Kesler
Weiss
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
1
Kesler
Weiss
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,022)
53.3% (942)
+4.0%
Power Play
61.5% (200)
56.1% (212)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (257)
55.9% (93)
-1.0%
On power play, Kesler has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Kesler shoots right. Weiss is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (489).
Home / Away
Kesler
Weiss
Home
58.6% (766)
55.1% (680)
Away
56.2% (730)
52.4% (599)
By Period
Kesler
Weiss
P1
58.9%
53.1%
P2
56.8%
57.4%
P3
57.5%
51.1%
OT
31.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |