Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Weiss on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Weiss 53.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Weiss leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Weiss 63.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 69.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 54.6%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Kesler
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Kesler
Weiss
Last 10: Kesler 4-6 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
1
4
Kesler
Weiss
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
3
Kesler
Weiss
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
1
Kesler
Weiss
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
53.0% (2,521)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
54.6% (560)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
49.4% (245)
+1.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Weiss is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Kesler
Weiss
Home
57.2% (5,732)
54.7% (1,745)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
51.3% (1,657)
By Period
Kesler
Weiss
P1
56.5%
53.5%
P2
55.9%
54.2%
P3
56.1%
52.2%
OT
46.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2013 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 30, 2013 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 30, 2013 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |